Free-speech via the social networks and P2P would appear to be assisting in lowering the crime rate.

 

In the USA, Internet was an available public commentary resource before any other country in the western world.

 

1992 was the year that competition hit the USA with tremendous growth in pay-based online services, like Prodigy, GEnie. AOL and Compuserve.

Compuserve introduced the first known WYSIWYG e-mail content and forum posts, with forums growing rapidly to allow individuals to post opinions and commentary on a wide variety of subjects.

The Compusurve (and other competitive offerings) forums evolved into the present day Blogshere and social networking that has taken the Internet by storm and gave the people of the world a non edited conduit to their peers.

 


1992, was curiously also the year that crime rates started to drop in the USA; and 1998 was the year that another noticeable dip occurred. The year that Napster was born.

 

Of course this is anecdotal at this stage. (I'm an Economist, not a social-behavioral Psychologist.) But it would seem that when the population have an alternative – (economically priced entertainment) they turn away from crime.

 

On that basis, since the Internet "commercialised" in the USA, the US Government have saved an estimated $58,151,289,000 (Calc @$50 p/day) on prisoner “accommodation costs” alone, with obvious additional monies saved in transportation, arraignment, trial and public attorney fees.

This does not include the insurance moneys saved, the decreased crime rate effect on consumer psychological well being and the lives and property saved.

 

I trust that the new Internet Czar keeps all of this in mind when handing out his “stop the people talking to each other” solution to prevent the spread of Internet “rumours”.



 

Source: http://www.disastercenter.com/crime/uscrime.htm

(Calculation based on 3,186,372 prisoners not serving one year or 365 days in prison between 1992 and 2007.)


1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
255,082,000| 257,908,000| 260,341,000| 262,755,000| 265,228,572 |267,637,000| 270,296,000| 272,690,813| 281,421,906| 285,317,559| 287,973,924 |290,690,788| 293,656,842| 296,507,061| 299,398,484| 301,621,157
14,438,200 14,144,800 13,989,500 13,862,700 13,493,863 13,194,571 12,475,634 11,634,378 11,608,072 11,876,669 11,878,954 11,826,538 11,679,474 11,565,499 11,401,511 11,251,828
0 -293,400 -155,300 -126,800 -368,837 -299,292 -718,937 -841,256 -26,306 268,597 2,285 -52,416 -147,064 -113,975 -163,988 -149,683



Update 30th of July.


It has been suggested on the Zeropaid forum that the US "Three Strikes Initiative had more to do with lowering crime rates than anything else.


The Three Strikes Legislation was introduced throughout the USA in the years 1995-1996.

Whilst it may hold true (to some extent) for the reduction in crime after that time, it does not allow for the drastic drop in crime in the years 1992-1995 which preiod saw a reduction of over 500,000 prisoners in the US for the period.


Further a research report entitled:

Three Strikes and You're Out: A Review of State Legislation Series: NIJ Research in Brief
Published: September 1997
20 pages 39,472 bytes

U.S. Department of Justice
Office of Justice Programs
National Institute of Justice

And sumarised by

Jeremy Travis, Director
September 1997

Concluded that:

Several States had preexisting habitual offender laws that allowed for, but did not require, enhanced sentences; the new laws make such sentences mandatory.

Early evidence shows that, with the exception of California, most of the laws will have minimal impact on those States' prison systems because they were drafted to apply to only the most violent
repeat offenders. Only broadly defined two-strikes provisions like California's have the potential to drastically alter existing sentencing practices.
http://www.ncjrs.gov/txtfiles/165369.txt

Further, (Warner) stated that
We test the role of local social ties both as a mediator between structural conditions and crime rates and as conditional upon neighborhood characteristics using data on 100 Seattle census tracts. We find that local social ties decrease the assault rate significantly, but have little mediating effects between community structure and crime rates. The effect of social ties on burglary, however, is contrary to social disorganization hypotheses. More importantly, we find that local social ties have differing effects in different types of neighborhoods. Specifically, social ties significantly and negatively affect assault rates in predominantly white neighborhoods, while they have no significant effect in predominantly minority or racially mixed neighborhoods. These latter findings have particular significance for the development and refinement of community and crime models.


And Armour,

Using data gathered from the 2000 Census and various local institutions across Columbus, Ohio, I find negative effects of participation in some stabilizing institutions and positive effects of non-stabilizing institutions on the crime rate.


References:

Barbara D. Warner, Pamela Wilcox Rountree "Local Social Ties in a Community and Crime Model: Questioning the Systemic Nature of Informal Social Control"
November 1997, Vol. 44, No. 4, Pages 520–536 , DOI 10.1525/sp.1997.44.4.03x0235a


Armour, Stacy. "Local Institutions and Neighborhood Crime: Does Participation Matter?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Sociological Association, Hilton San Francisco & Renaissance Parc 55 Hotel, San Francisco, CA,, Aug 14, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p108697_index.html>