P2P file sharers are about to become harder to find.

In December last year, I predicted to a leading copyright body that by April 2009, 30% of P2P would be invisible.
It’s about to get a whole lot worse.

The latest IETF Draft to hit the streets details P2P caching as a primary function of edge cache servers similar to Akamai.

Some of us have known about this for sometime – but not talked about it because what the black hats don’t know confuses them.

If all ISP’s follow this model and now install edge caches for P2P traffic, both the end user and the ISP benefit from the localization of popular file traffic.

This will result in companies like Media Defender et al beginning to get extremely lowered P2P connections to their honeypot fake file distributors and noise makers and show up on statistics as negative growth for P2P.

If ISP’s or CSP’s implement the concept.

If for example, Telstra were to implement this RFC, transparently, approximately
53% of Australian traffic would disappear from the international links.
Replicated by all ISP’s, would produce an increase in customer satisfaction in the order of 25-35% (caching expectation being 32%) and an effective decrease in P2P bandwidth utilisation costs of between 5-53%.

I can see that edge caching, here-to-fore a tool only for Internet 2 will rapidly be come a valuable add-in tool for all ISP’s and the new bane of the Content Industry.

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